The iPhone reigns supreme! Apple is set to surpass Samsung to become the world's top phone maker for the first time in 14 YEARS
- READ MORE: Apple slammed for 'charging $230 for a sock'
Apple is set to surpass Samsung to become the world's top phone maker for the first time in 14 years, experts reveal.
Apple will ship around 243 million phones this year compared with 235 million for Samsung, according to Counterpoint Research.
This equates to 19.4 per cent of the global smartphone market for Apple compared with 18.7 per cent for Korean rival Samsung.
It puts the multi-trillion-dollar company above its Asian rivals for the first time since 2011.
What's more, Apple will maintain the global top spot until 2029 – and possibly even beyond, according to the experts.
Yang Wang, analyst at Counterpoint Research, pointed to the success of the iPhone 17 released in September which is having 'bumper' holiday season sales.
'In addition, we are seeing record demand coming from emerging markets like India, Middle East and Southeast Asia,' he told the Daily Mail.
'Apple has been actively working with channel partners to penetrate deeper in domestic markets, or setting up retail outlets directly.
Apple is set to surpass Samsung in shipments for the first time in 14 years by the end of the year. Other smartphone brands ranking behind the two giants are China-based - Xiaomi, Vivo, Transsion and Oppo
Apple will ship around 243 million phones this year compared with 235 million for Samsung, according to Counterpoint Research. Pictured, iPhone 17 Pro Max
'Added to the fact that the US dollar has depreciated during the course of the year, that has meant that consumers overseas have found a little bit more purchasing power and can afford an aspirational upgrade.'
Sales of the iPhone 17 series in the US during the first four weeks after launch were 12 per cent higher than those of the iPhone 16 series (excluding the 'budget' iPhone 16e).
In China, sales of the iPhone 17 series during the same period were 18 per cent higher than its predecessor, even though the iPhone Air was not part of the initial launch.
Meanwhile, in Japan, sales for the iPhone 17 series during the first four weeks were seven per cent higher than those for the previous generation.
Mr Wang also pointed to a certain demographic of iPhone users who don't rush out to buy the newest iPhone model every year but are now choosing to upgrade.
'Beyond the highly positive market reception for the iPhone 17 series, the key driver behind the upgraded shipment outlook lies in the replacement cycle reaching its inflection point,' he said.
'Consumers who purchased smartphones during the Covid-19 boom are now entering their upgrade phase.'
Apple also benefited from lower-than-expected tariff impacts globally and a truce in the US-China trade and tech war. President Donald Trump's trade tariffs threatened to put hefty charges on goods imported from other countries – including China where most iPhones are made.
Global smartphone shipments are expected to increase by 3.3 per cent year-on-year in 2025, mainly driven by strong performances from Apple
With strong momentum building for the iPhone 17 series across key regions, iPhone shipments will grow 10 per cent year-on-year in 2025, while Samsung is expected to see a 'decent' five per cent shipment growth.
In contrast, mixed fortunes are projected for the top four Chinese manufacturers – Xiaomi, Vivo, Transsion and Oppo.
The experts point to domestic market weakness, supply chain 'jitters' and increasing competition throttling further growth for these Chinese companies.
'These companies are shifting toward higher price segments, investing in premium devices, AI capabilities and foldables to boost profitability and reduce reliance on the crowded low-end market,' the research firm said in a statement.
'Supply chain uncertainties, however, continue to pose constraints on expansion.'
Global smartphone shipments are expected to increase by 3.3 per cent year-on-year in 2025, mainly driven by strong performances from Apple.
In the next few years, Apple is likely to increase its dominance as some hotly-anticipated iPhone products finally get a release.
It is on track to launch the iPhone 17e – the successor to the iPhone 16e and the second model in the lower-priced 'e' series – in the first half of 2026.
Samsung launched its first phone with a foldable screen more than six years ago. Apple fans are still waiting for a foldable iPhone - although that wait is nearing an end
The company is also expected to release its first foldable iPhone by the end of next year, likely a book-shaped device with a large internal screen.
Meanwhile, a smaller iPhone 'flip' with a horizonal crease across the screen is expected by late 2027.
Perhaps ironically, Samsung launched its first phone with a foldable screen more than six years ago.
The team at Counterpoint Research also forecast a 'major iPhone design revamp' in 2027 to mark the 20th anniversary of the iPhone.
Respected US leaker Mark Gurman has already said this special device will have a curved glass screen.
Further improvements to Apple Intelligence, the company's suite of AI tools, will also fuel more sales by persuading people to upgrade to the newest device.

