Rubio and CIA director slam Israel’s strategic plan for Iran

Weeks before Donald Trump ordered US strikes on Iran in late February his top deputies scoffed at a 'farcical' presentation from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu, some top Israeli officials, and the head of Mossad, David Barnea, presented the President and his top staff with a daring presentations to topple the Islamic Republic in the White House Situation Room, according to the New York Times. The meeting on February 11 included Trump's top brass: Secretary of State Marco Rubio , CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth , Chairman of the Joint Chiefs General Dan Caine, White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner and his special envoy Steve Witkoff. Deep in the White House Situation Room, Netanyahu and his team presented Trump with a detailed case for why now was the moment to strike. The pitch was stark: Iran's top leaders would all be gathered in one place, an unprecedented opportunity for a decapitation strike, the Israelis argued. Trump appeared intrigued, buoyed by the success of last summer's strikes against the country, according to the Times excerpt of the forthcoming book, 'Regime Change: Inside the Imperial Presidency of Donald Trump.'

The plan promised to destroy Iran's ballistic missile programme, eliminate any threat to the Strait of Hormuz and leave Tehran with minimal capacity to retaliate against the US or its allies. The Israelis went further, suggesting Kurdish fighters in Iraq could join the assault, that ordinary Iranians might rise up against the regime, and that the threat would only grow if left unchecked. The following day, after US intelligence analysts reviewed the Israeli blueprint spanning four objectives: killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei; crippling Iran's power projection; stoking a popular uprising; and triggering regime change - the verdict was pointed. Spooks were convinced by the first two aims. The final two, they were not. At a follow-up meeting on February 12, Ratcliffe and Rubio poured cold water on the plan, particularly the twin promises of regime change and a popular uprising, which the CIA director dismissed as 'farcical.' 'In other words, it's bull[expletive]' Rubio added.

According to the Times, US officials believed the first two objectives were achievable with American intelligence and military muscle - but concluded that Netanyahu's third and fourth aims, including the prospect of a Kurdish ground invasion of Iran, were detached from reality. JD Vance, absent from the February 11 meeting but present the following day, was equally sceptical that regime change would materialise. Trump then turned to General Caine. 'What do you think?' 'Sir, this is, in my experience, standard operating procedure for the Israelis,' Caine replied. 'They oversell, and their plans are not always well-developed. They know they need us, and that's why they're hard-selling.' Faced with the verdict that the Israeli plan had serious holes, Trump told the room that regime change would be 'their problem' - though it remained unclear precisely who the President had in mind. 

Though many of Trump's advisers 'distrusted' Netanyahu, the President was keen on taking out the Ayatollah and limiting Iran's ability to project power regionally and through its many proxies, like Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis, the report states. No one did more to talk Trump out of the planned strikes than Vance. But weeks later, just days before the President green-lit US strikes on Iran in conjunction with Israel, Trump's advisers deferred to the commander-in-chief's judgement. 'If we just mean killing the supreme leader, we can probably do that,' Ratcliffe reportedly told the President. Rubio noted he didn't think that regime change or a popular uprising were in the cards. But that didn't prompt Trump to change course. 'I think we need to do it,' the 79-year-old told the room. The following day, Trump approved the strikes on Iran. 'Operation Epic Fury is approved. No aborts. Good luck,' the President told Caine.