Top election forecaster Nate Silver has revealed his new 2024 model showing Kamala Harris in a better position than Joe Biden in the battle against Donald Trump, but she faces a major problem. 

Harris is projected to win the popular vote but has just over a 38 percent chance of winning the Electoral College while Trump has a 61 percent chance, his model shows. 

A new poll of the swing states however has shown Harris has wiped out Trump's lead and is now ahead by 11 points in Michigan.

They are latest sign of where the momentum shifts heading ahead of the general election came as the Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe was grilled in the Senate over the massive failures that led to the assassination attempt on Trump.

Follow DailyMail.com's U.S. politics for all the developments from the campaign trail.  

21:43

Kamala Harris seizes swing state leads over Trump and is now up 11 in Michigan

US Vice President and 2024 Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris poses for a selfie as she visits Paschal's, a historic Black-owned restaurant, before holding a campaign rally in Atlanta, Georgia, on July 30, 2024. (Photo by Erin SCHAFF / POOL / AFP) (Photo by ERIN SCHAFF/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Vice President Kamala Harris wiped away Donald Trump’s swing state leads in battlegrounds, according to a new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.

The poll of seven battlegrounds has her leading by an average of 48 percent to 47 percent for Trump. Biden was trailing Trump by two points before he dropped out amid a Democratic pressure campaign.

The most pronounced spike for Harris was in Michigan, where she leads Trump 53 to 42. She also leads by 2 in Nevada, Arizona, and Wisconsin, while trailing by 4 in Pennsylvania and 2 in North Carolina. Harris and Trump are tied in battleground Georgia, a state Harris visited Tuesday.

Black voters, younger voters, and Hispanic voters all say they are more likely to vote now that Harris is replacing Biden, 81, at the top of the ticket. More than a third of voters in the battlegrounds said they were more likely to vote.

19:31

Head of Project 2025 steps down, and Trump responds

Paul Dans, head of Project 2025, has stepped down.

The project had put forward ideas for a possible second Trump administration and had been attacked by Democrats.

In a statement the Trump campaign said:

President Trump’s campaign has been very clear for over a year that Project 2025 had nothing to do with the campaign, did not speak for the campaign, and should not be associated with the campaign or the President in any way.
Reports of Project 2025’s demise would be greatly welcomed and should serve as notice to anyone or any group trying to misrepresent their influence with President Trump and his campaign - it will not end well for you.

17:33

Forecast shows Kamala Harris doing better than Biden but still in tough spot against Trump

Nate Silver relaunched his forecast model of the presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

It shows the vice president in a better position than President Biden was in before exiting the race, but Harris is still a modest underdog in the Electoral College, according to the modeling.

Harris has just over a 38 percent chance of winning the Electoral College while Trump has a 61 percent chance.

However, it shows Harris' chances of winning the popular vote at over 53 percent, even if she does not win the election. Trump's chance at the popular vote according to the current forecast is at 46.5 percent.

This combination photo shows Vice President Kamala Harris, left, at the White House in Washington, July 22, 2024, and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump at an event July 26, 2024, in West Palm Beach, Fla. Just 99 days before Election Day, a fundamentally new race is taking shape with new candidates, a new issue focus and a new outlook for both parties. Harris is smashing fundraising records and taking over social media. Republicans are fearful and frustrated as they struggle to accept the new reality that Trump's victory is no sure thing. (AP Photo)

23:53

Kamala Harris strikes back against Donald Trump

Kamala Harris repeatedly attacked Donald Trump at her biggest campaign rally to date, accusing him failing to secure the border and dared him to debate her in September.

Trump and Republicans have repeatedly attacked Harris on the Biden's border policy, calling her the administration's 'border czar.'

But she hit back on Tuesday night.

'I was the attorney general of a border state. In that job I walked underground tunnels on that border,' she said. 'I went after drug cartels, human traffickers … I prosecuted them in case after case and I won. Donald Trump on the other hand talked a big game about securing our border but he's not walking the talk. Or as my friend Quavo would say, he's not walking it like he talks it.'

And when Harris noted Trump pulled out of their September debate, the crowd booed.

'So he won't debate but he and his running mate have a lot to say about me,' she said. 'And, by the way, don't you find some of their stuff to be just plain weird.'

'Well Donald I hope you'll reconsider to meet me on the debate stage because, as the saying goes, if you've got something to say' – the cheering of the crowd drowned her out.

'Lock him up,' the crowd yelled.

22:48

Harris slams Trump's comments on her husband

FILE - Vice President Kamala Harris, left, and second gentleman Doug Emhoff address staff at her campaign headquarters in Wilmington, Del., July 22, 2024. The nation's first second gentleman, Emhoff could become its first first gentlemen after November. Emhoff is used to traveling the country championing his wife and the Biden administration's accomplishments in his current job. But now that Harris is the presumptive Democratic nominee, those efforts have been thrust into the political spotlight like never before. (Erin Schaff/The New York Times via AP, Pool, File)

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent in Atlanta

Kamala Harris slammed Donald Trump as ‘despicable’ after he agreed with a radio host who referred to the vice president’s husband as a ‘crappy Jew.’

‘Donald Trump is hateful, despicable, and should not be our president,’ she said in a statement.

‘The disgusting comments are below the dignity of anyone – let alone someone who would lead our country,’ she added.

The former president was being interviewed by conservative New York radio show host Sid Rosenberg when Rosenberg began tearing into Doug Emoff as a 'crappy Jew.'

First, Trump called Jewish Americans who vote for Democrats 'absolute fools.'

'But if you are Jewish, regardless of Israel, if you’re Jewish, if you vote for a Democrat, you’re a fool, an absolute fool. They have let Jewish people down since Obama at a level that nobody could believe possible,' Trump said.

Rosenberg went after Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff, who is Jewish.

'It’s funny, but it’s true. It said he is. He is, and they tell me that they saw this Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, Mr. President is Jewish. He’s Jewish like Bernie Sanders is Jewish. Are you kidding me? He’s a crappy Jew,' Rosenberg said. 'He's a horrible Jew.'

'Yeah,' Trump can be heard agreeing.

22:47

Harris slams Trump's comments on her husband

FILE - Vice President Kamala Harris, left, and second gentleman Doug Emhoff address staff at her campaign headquarters in Wilmington, Del., July 22, 2024. The nation's first second gentleman, Emhoff could become its first first gentlemen after November. Emhoff is used to traveling the country championing his wife and the Biden administration's accomplishments in his current job. But now that Harris is the presumptive Democratic nominee, those efforts have been thrust into the political spotlight like never before. (Erin Schaff/The New York Times via AP, Pool, File)

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent in Atlanta

Kamala Harris slammed Donald Trump as ‘despicable’ after he agreed with a radio host who referred to the vice president’s husband as a ‘crappy Jew.’

‘Donald Trump is hateful, despicable, and should not be our president,’ she said in a statement.

‘The disgusting comments are below the dignity of anyone – let alone someone who would lead our country,’ she added.

The former president was being interviewed by conservative New York radio show host Sid Rosenberg when Rosenberg began tearing into Doug Emoff as a 'crappy Jew.'

First, Trump called Jewish Americans who vote for Democrats 'absolute fools.'

'But if you are Jewish, regardless of Israel, if you’re Jewish, if you vote for a Democrat, you’re a fool, an absolute fool. They have let Jewish people down since Obama at a level that nobody could believe possible,' Trump said.

Rosenberg went after Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff, who is Jewish.

'It’s funny, but it’s true. It said he is. He is, and they tell me that they saw this Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, Mr. President is Jewish. He’s Jewish like Bernie Sanders is Jewish. Are you kidding me? He’s a crappy Jew,' Rosenberg said. 'He's a horrible Jew.'

'Yeah,' Trump can be heard agreeing.

21:50

Harris has yet to pick her VP nominee

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris stops at Paschal's restaurant before a presidential election campaign event in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S. July 30, 2024. REUTERS/Dustin Chambers

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent in Atlanta

Kamala Harris has not picked a running mate yet.

‘Not yet,’ she told reporters traveling with her to Atlanta for a campaign rally.

Harris is holding her largest rally to date in the critical battleground state. She has 10,000 supporters waiting for her at the Georgia State Convocation Center.

Donald Trump will hold a rally at the same spot on Saturday.

On her way to the rally site, Harris stopped at Paschal’s Restaurant, a soul food restaurant in Atlanta.

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris stops at Paschal's restaurant before a presidential election campaign event in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S. July 30, 2024. REUTERS/Dustin Chambers

20:12

Trump agrees with radio host who calls Kamala Harris' husband a 'crappy' 'horrible' Jew

Former President Donald Trump was being interviewed by conservative New York radio show host Sid Rosenberg when Rosenberg began tearing into Kamala Harris' husband as a 'crappy Jew.'

First, Trump called Jewish Americans who vote for Democrats 'absolute fools.'

'But if you are Jewish, regardless of Israel, if you’re Jewish, if you vote for a Democrat, you’re a fool, an absolute fool. They have let Jewish people down since Obama at a level that nobody could believe possible,' Trump said.

He also mentioned voting for Biden even though the president is no longer his opponent.

Trump also declared 'Chuck Schumer is officially now a Palestinian' in an attack on the Senate Majority leader, who is also Jewish.

That's when Rosenberg jumped in and went after Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff, who is Jewish.

'It’s funny, but it’s true. It said he is. He is, and they tell me that they saw this Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, Mr. President is Jewish. He’s Jewish like Bernie Sanders is Jewish. Are you kidding me? He’s a crappy Jew,' Rosenberg said. 'He's a horrible Jew.'

'Yeah,' Trump can be heard agreeing.

20:55

Lara Trump compares Kamala Harris to designer faux trash bag

Lara Trump, the daughter-in-law of Donald Trump and Republican Party co-chair, compared Kamala Harris to a handbag designed to look like a trash bag.

She told Fox News:

It’s been incredible to see the way they have tried to prop up Kamala Harris and really sell her as some, sort of, this amazing political figure.
It reminds me of, there was this bag that a very famous designer designed, this is several years ago, and it literally was a trash bag, but they sold this thing for like $2,000 thinking that people would actually buy it. It’s a similar situation with Kamala Harris.

The handbag that looked like a trash bag was designed by luxury French fashion house Balenciaga. It was released in 2022 and cost $1,790.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - JUNE 27: Lara Trump, co-chair of the Republican National Committee speaks to reporters in the spin room following the CNN Presidential Debate between U.S. President Joe Biden and Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump at the McCamish Pavilion on the Georgia Institute of Technology campus on June 27, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. President Biden and former President Trump are faced off in the first presidential debate of the 2024 campaign. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

20:45

J.D. Vance's furious response to MSNBC contributor claimed he only wants 'white children'

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Sen. J.D. Vance is hitting back at liberals who claim his 'childless cat lady' comment was 'racist.'

The Republican vice presidential nominee​​ is the father of three biracial children with his wife Usha, who is the daughter of Indian immigrants.

MSNBC contributor Molly Jong-Fast said on Morning Joe:

What's interesting is that this is this natalism that comes from an authoritarian playbook, right? That there needs to be more white children, right? That's the idea – that this is about great replacement theory racism, right?
This is what this is. So don't misunderstand it for him wanting more children. He wants a certain kind of racist thing.

Vance Spokesperson William Martin blamed MSNBC for allowing the 'trash' to air on their network and told DailyMail.com of Jong-Fast's comments:

These disgusting attacks are a reminder that the leftwing media will stop at nothing to smear any Republican that they deem a threat to their radical agenda.
Senator Vance and his wife Usha have three beautiful, biracial children. It's because of vile attacks like this that most Americans have lost faith in the establishment media to report the news fairly.'
MSNBC should be ashamed of themselves for allowing this trash to air on their network.

20:19

Anita Dunn leaving the White House in first top staff departure since Biden stepped back

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 23: Anita Dunn, senior adviser to U.S. President Joe Biden, departs the White House January 23, 2024 in Washington, DC. Biden is traveling to Manassas, Virginia for a campaign event. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

Anita Dunn, who has served as a top advisor to President Biden during his presidency and his campaigns, is leaving her White House perch to advise a super PAC backing VP Kamala Harris.

Dunn was part of a core group of longtime aides advising Biden as he decided to end his presidential campaign, and was reportedly one of the few who got a head’s up a minute before the president blasted out his decision.

Now she’ll be guiding the Future Forward PAC, which says it plans to spend $300 million bolstering Harris, although campaign rules will limit coordination with the campaign itself.

Hers is the first major departure since Biden stepped back and endorsed Harris. The news came on a day the White House acknowledged it was 'recalibrating' what role Biden himself will play while his VP seeks the White House.

Biden gushed about Dunn in a statement confirming her exit. ‘I deeply value her counsel and friendship,’ he said. The Washington Post first reported her departure. Dunn, whose title is senior advisor and who is married to the president’s personal lawyer Bob Bauer, moved in and out of the White House during Biden's term, eventually pulling back from her SKDK firm (she was one of the ‘Ks’ along with Bill Knapp) in 2022 to counsel Biden full time.

20:12

Kari Lake and daughter Ruby encourage Arizonans to vote today

Kari Lake posted a new video encouraging Arizona voters to head to the polls and vote for her Tuesday for U.S. Senate. Lake and her daughter Ruby were headed to vote on primary day.

Lake is expected to win her Republican primary on Tuesday and then face off against Democratic House Rep. Ruben Gallego in November for Arizona's Senate seat currently represented by Kyrsten Sinema.

Key Updates
  • Trump agrees with radio host who calls Kamala Harris' husband a 'crappy' 'horrible' Jew
  • Head of Project 2025 steps down, and Trump responds
  • Senate passes landmark social media reforms to protect children
  • Trump plans to change Air Force One to new patriotic color
  • Harris drops first paid TV ad while Trump campaign hits her over the airwaves
  • Harris to campaign in Atlanta with Megan Thee Stallion and Stacey Abrams

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