How Iran could strike back

Long‑range missiles could extend into Europe

Open‑source estimates suggest Iran’s long‑range

missiles could reach deep into Europe, extending as far

as London.

4,000km

missile range

russia

London

uk

Paris

Romania

Kazakhstan

bulgaria

turkey

afghanistan

greece

IRAN

china

iraq

pakistan

algeria

libya

egypt

saudi

arabia

India

sudan

Arabian

Sea

Diego Garcia

UK-US

military base

1,000mi

Possible activation of sleeper assets abroad

U.S. officials intercepted encrypted messages that may

have been intended for Iran‑aligned sleeper assets in

the Middle East, Europe and the United States, though

no specific locations or plots were identified.

Threats to energy and desalination facilities

across the Middle East

Critical oil fields, refineries, power plants and

desalination facilities across the Gulf leave the region

highly vulnerable to disruption. Any damage to these

sites would have major economic and humanitarian

consequences.

Major oil/energy sites

Desalination plants

Daily capacity cubic metres

100,000

909,000

Caspian

Sea

Tehran

Potential full

closure of the

Strait of Hormuz

(including risk of

mining activity).

IRAN

IRAQ

Suez

Canal

Riyadh

UAE

SAUDI

ARABIA

Red

Sea

OMAN

Arabian

Sea

Gulf of

Aden

300mi

Possible Houthi Blockade of the Red Sea and Gulf

of Aden

Iran could encourage Yemen’s Houthi rebels to disrupt

or block shipping through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden,

a move that would threaten access to the Suez Canal

and a major global trade route.

Long‑range missiles could extend into Europe

Open‑source estimates suggest Iran’s long‑range

missiles could reach deep into Europe, extending as far

as London.

4,000km

missile range

russia

London

uk

Paris

Romania

Kazakhstan

bulgaria

turkey

afghanistan

greece

IRAN

china

iraq

pakistan

algeria

libya

egypt

saudi

arabia

India

sudan

Arabian

Sea

Diego Garcia

UK-US

military base

1,000mi

Possible activation of sleeper assets abroad

U.S. officials intercepted encrypted messages that may

have been intended for Iran‑aligned sleeper assets in

the Middle East, Europe and the United States, though

no specific locations or plots were identified.

Threats to energy and desalination facilities

across the Middle East

Critical oil fields, refineries, power plants and

desalination facilities across the Gulf leave the region

highly vulnerable to disruption. Any damage to these

sites would have major economic and humanitarian

consequences.

Major oil/energy sites

Desalination plants

Daily capacity cubic metres

100,000

909,000

Caspian

Sea

Tehran

Potential full

closure of the

Strait of Hormuz

(including risk of

mining activity).

IRAN

IRAQ

Suez

Canal

Riyadh

UAE

SAUDI

ARABIA

Red

Sea

OMAN

Arabian

Sea

Gulf of

Aden

300mi

Possible Houthi Blockade of the Red Sea and Gulf

of Aden

Iran could encourage Yemen’s Houthi rebels to disrupt

or block shipping through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden,

a move that would threaten access to the Suez Canal

and a major global trade route.

Long‑range missiles could extend into Europe

Open‑source estimates suggest Iran’s long‑range missiles could reach deep into

Europe, extending as far as London.

Possible activation of sleeper assets abroad

U.S. officials intercepted encrypted messages that may have been intended for

Iran‑aligned sleeper assets in the Middle East, Europe and the United States, though no

specific locations or plots were identified.

1,000mi

4,000km

missile range

russia

London

uk

Paris

Romania

Kazakhstan

bulgaria

turkey

afghanistan

greece

china

iraq

IRAN

pakistan

algeria

libya

egypt

saudi

arabia

India

sudan

Arabian

Sea

Diego Garcia

UK-US

military base

Threats to energy and desalination facilities across the Middle East

Critical oil fields, refineries, power plants and desalination facilities across the

Gulf leave the region highly vulnerable to disruption. Any damage to these sites

would have major economic and humanitarian consequences.

Major oil/energy sites

Desalination plants

Daily capacity cubic metres

Caspian

Sea

100,000

909,000

Tehran

Potential full

closure of the

Strait of Hormuz

(including risk of

mining activity).

IRAQ

IRAN

KUWAIT

Kharg

Island

Suez

Canal

Riyadh

Gulf of Oman

UAE

SAUDI

ARABIA

Red

Sea

Arabian

Sea

EGYPT

OMAN

YEMEN

Gulf of

Aden

300mi

Possible Houthi Blockade of the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden

Iran could encourage Yemen’s Houthi rebels to disrupt or block shipping through the

Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, a move that would threaten access to the Suez Canal

and a major global trade route.